Strait of Hormuz 'Permanently Disrupted'? Polymarket's Seven Term Contracts Gradually Hit Zero, Year-End Recovery Probability Only 50%
PolymarketStrait of HormuzPrediction Market
GeopoliticsTerm StructureProbability Pricing
2026-08-14
Iran Says No Talks with US, Trump Claims 'Low-Key' Approach
Strait of HormuzGeopoliticsIran
United StatesOil PricesNegotiations
2026-08-11
Vance Says US-Iran Conflict in 'Middle Game,' US Military Seeks Exit, Iran Sets Six Conditions for Reopening Strait
Strait of HormuzUS-Iran conflictGeopolitics
Crude Oilmilitary
2026-08-10
Wall Street Morning Brief: Dow Hits New High but Tech Retreats, SanDisk and Western Digital Plunge After Hours on Weak Guidance, Gold Surges 4% Lifting Miners, Google AI Leadership Shake-Up Drags Shares